Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.133045 0.197501 0.272087 0.362323 0.466426 0.580986 0.714944
2025-11-30 0.053205 0.127137 0.230440 0.371428 0.548620 0.756185 1.010988
2025-12-07 0.019335 0.085581 0.198018 0.366901 0.591858 0.865617 1.211032
2025-12-14 0.002921 0.051935 0.163378 0.349709 0.612371 0.943143 1.370356
2025-12-21 0.000243 0.042797 0.163815 0.379002 0.691299 1.091152 1.613245
2025-12-28 NaN 0.035877 0.165373 0.408362 0.769453 1.237827 1.854525
2026-01-04 NaN 0.027179 0.159408 0.423876 0.827279 1.357844 2.062569
2026-01-11 NaN 0.025376 0.168546 0.463767 0.919417 1.522370 2.326297
2026-01-18 NaN 0.021799 0.171596 0.492823 0.995870 1.666486 2.564715
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014699 0.160856 0.496473 1.034739 1.760853 2.740446
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005432 0.132104 0.463667 1.017591 1.779502 2.819352
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000581 0.102771 0.423544 0.985802 1.776077 2.868210
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.087587 0.410020 0.995831 1.831932 2.997430
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.083108 0.419059 1.041796 1.937992 3.193014
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.073568 0.414407 1.064652 2.011293 3.345356
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.059786 0.396006 1.063454 2.050122 3.452083
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.064929 0.427278 1.145487 2.206576 3.713815
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.070040 0.458538 1.227632 2.363373 3.976255
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.069747 0.475032 1.284889 2.485021 4.192525
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.078826 0.517365 1.386046 2.669140 4.491501
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.083681 0.548140 1.467726 2.825765 4.754387
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.078794 0.552003 1.503826 2.917790 4.932132
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.061387 0.517260 1.472753 2.913442 4.981906